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Good morning, good morning, morning! Stocks go up, stocks go down—another stunning week already, and it's only Wednesday. Isn't that interesting? Fun, fun, fun, look at things go. You're getting opportunities that you've never had in a lifetime right now because of the news flow. You get like Nvidia ($NVDA). Nvidia goes down from 141 to 120, and you get all these clowns coming out saying nobody's buying anything.
Here's the reality of the situation: if you fall behind, your company goes away. Let's say you're at PayPal ($PYPL) and you slow down all your stuff, and all of a sudden, you look around and there's Square ($SQ) and Zelle and all these other competitors. You’re Tesla ($TSLA), you slow down a little bit, and there are 15 other competitors. It doesn't matter who you are—if somebody can come up with an idea and do something with AI, they're going to do it, and your company goes away. It goes away; it doesn't just go to zero, it goes away.
If that's happening, you better invest. You better be doing the same thing everybody else is doing to figure out how you can use AI, how it benefits you, how you can change your earnings and your business. If you don't do that, if you just say, "Let me think about it for six months," you're gone. You're gone. Go back and look at some of these—you remember Sun Microsystems and Scott McNealy, Broadcom ($AVGO), and Henry something? I forget all these guys. They wanted to do certain things, then they got scared when their stocks went down, and they're all gone. You don't even hear of them anymore. The average CEO is brain-dead—they just are. I don't care what you think about your company; if you're not investing in AI, you're going to zero. It's that simple.
I put a number out there the other day: 65% of all companies will go out of business. 65% of the companies around today will be gone in five years. I may take that to 75%. For every company that goes away, a new company crops up that does probably the same thing but does it better, faster, cheaper, etc.
Let me give you something very interesting here. What happens if a company like Starbucks ($SBUX) comes up with all robots working there? They can make your coffee in 3 to 4 minutes versus 15 minutes. The robots do it faster, cut the cost down to $4 a cup. Would Starbucks ever do that? Starbucks won't do that because they're like, "We're better, we're Starbucks." That means Starbucks goes away. Not saying it's going to happen, but it could.
That's what I'm telling you. Some people are going to try this stuff. Maybe a robot's going to come in two years, maybe not. Getting a robot that just makes coffee is not as hard as getting a robot that irons your clothes, cleans your toilets, and gives you a backrub. Maybe, who knows? Just be aware.
That's what Dan Ives understands, what Sam understands, and that's why we're uniquely different. Today, we have so many opportunities. We bought the Nvidia 135 calls, sold them for 50 grand, and put 20 grand into the 140s. Big position, a lot of contracts into the 140s. They're cheap, 30 cents. If this can take out 141 on a low CPI, this thing can be 150. Think about that: 30 cents to $10 opportunities. Maybe it works, maybe it doesn't.
Broadcom can't seem to get through 1772, but if it does, it's not going to stop. Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) gets a downgrade. At 930, it's kind of a bogus downgrade. If it can get over 932, it can explode. Bitcoin finally starting to move up. All very straightforward. Arm Holdings ($ARMH), all the money comes in next year and the year after. If I had to pick one stock that triples, probably goes to 500 within 18 months, it would be Arm. Maybe it works, maybe it doesn't, who knows.
Buoy, day two—we haven't had day two in these for a long time. Tesla, think about how stupid people are. CNBC says Tesla is up 10 days in a row. Who cares? It's up 5% for the year. If it goes down, do you remember in 2008 with the financial crisis and stuff? Goldman Sachs ($GS) was at 300, then 200, then 100, and people said on TV, "It's down 10 days in a row, it has to go up." It kept going down. It doesn't matter if it's been up 10 days in a row—it goes up if there are buyers, down if there are not.
Is it ready to go more? Maybe. 266 was hard, it hit, came down six. Sam's numbers, nothing like them, God-like, amazing. AMD ($AMD) was about to break up, and some clown who needed it short put out a downgrade. If it gets through 181, bye-bye, hasta la vista, 192.
Yesterday, someone said, "My hedge went to zero." Your hedge—if you make money in your hedge, you lose money on all your other positions. Get a little smarter. You want your hedge to go to zero. Look in the chat room, we answer questions all day long nonstop. If you want to learn faster, come to the chat room. Twitter is fine for a lot of people, but don't be lazy.
Sending messages like "Meta ($META) is down from 5 to 4," you should expect zero. Interesting, interesting. CrowdStrike ($CRWD), not ready. Palo Alto Networks ($PANW), not ready. Charts are worthless. Go watch the Vegas video and find out the newest thing in trading. AMD was 10 points out of the money last week. Let's say it was 1. If it's 3, that tells you, "Holy [expletive], why is it 3?" Is it because somebody knows something and it's going to rocket, or it's overpriced? This is ridiculously simple. Put me on CNBC, and Sam has 10 million followers in a day.
Goldman Sachs entry yesterday—down four, then down one, and Sam buys it, then it's up 11. Then we see. Bank earnings start Friday. If JP Morgan ($JPM) is good, it trades at 12 times earnings. If it gets legs, then it goes.
SPX is up 12 or 13, at 5587-5589. 5600, 5621, 5652 on a 0% CPI. Downside 5521. Broadcom 1772, 1800, 1822. Nvidia 136, 141. ASML Holding ($ASML) 1100, 1122. Lam Research ($LRCX) 1140. CrowdStrike 396. Palo Alto Networks 146. Meta 542. Booking Holdings ($BKNG) 10319. Apple ($AAPL) 131, 142. AMD 181. Goldman Sachs 482. Carvana ($CVNA)—Sam says it's popping, boom, upgrade. Looks like 137 coming now. Arm 188, 192. Coinbase ($COIN) 226, 266. MicroStrategy ($MSTR) 1740. NASDAQ flying. These are going to open at 25 from 14, up $10.
Super Micro Computer: if it can get 932, it can run. Tesla—insane appetite, people buying the 275s. Everything is ripping. Would love to get it to 709, then buy up. That's what we know, let's go to comments and questions.
Do you think it's good to buy Nvidia stock? I like Nvidia stock, but buy it near strike, go two weeks out, and buy a put to cover yourself. If it goes down 10, you're covered, you only lose two. Very straightforward.
Microsoft ($MSFT) is up a little. Arm gets royalties, robots will replace many workers. Absolutely, robots will replace many. Honey, I'm going for a massage with a robot.
Everyone have a great trading day. See you in chat.
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