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Stocks go up, stocks go down. 06/27
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Okay, what happens in Vegas stays in Vegas... okay, crazy crazy day. Tomorrow is going to be real fun. A lot of people will be here, might even put some guest speakers on the morning call. That'll be interesting, right? Micron ($MU) earnings were great. Their reaction is wrong. Lam Research ($LRCX) tells you it's wrong. Lam Research ($LRCX) is way up, ASML ($ASML) is up 10, Micron ($MU) is down. It may go positive; it's probably good for next week. It's not good for this week.
This is month-end. All this is month-end. So then we see, then we see, then we see. I think all the chips are going to rally on Monday or Tuesday next week. So that's what's going on.
Just some stuff about Vegas tomorrow. If you registered for the event and you're going to stream it, all you'll do is log into vegas.smartertrading411.com and make sure you can log in. If you've logged in and you paid, you're going to be able to see a link that will be active tomorrow. It's not active right now, so you won't see it today. Okay, so that's how you're going to do the streaming. If you're going to be at the event, I believe we're in Caesar's Palace Roman 2, so you'll go to the convention area up these huge escalators—I mean way up there—and it'll be in Roman 2. We will do the call live if you want to listen to it live or if you want to come afterwards, so either way. So that's what's what, that's what's going on right now.
So nothing huge. Bitcoin ($BTC) up a little bit, Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) chips—if they go positive, how far do they go? When is this over? The stress test, all the banks are down, but here's an interesting item that they're doing a little bit different: Goldman Sachs ($GS), JPMorgan ($JPM), everything—how they're going to return money to shareholders can be announced after the close on Friday. That's different, so they screwed everybody by that. So usually it's right after the fact, and so the buybacks or anything they're going to do doesn't happen till after the close on Friday.
So that's interesting. Tesla ($TSLA) trying to break out that finally, 196. 201, and that's what we know. If anybody has a quick question, we have a few minutes for that. Barbara's here. She's like, can I say something?
Okay, interesting, interesting. It's gonna be an interesting day. Well, Cesar, we are setting up everything in the ballroom. If you want to come by and say hi, you can come by. We should be there at 2PM, till probably 4:00, somewhere in there. After that, somewhere tonight, we'll be doing stuff. Don't know about that.
Okay, so interesting. Nio ($NIO) is telling us robot taxi licenses in many cities. That's interesting. If Tesla ($TSLA) gets going and it gets through 203, 209, very, very possible. Then we see, then we see, then we see. We don't have a lot of stuff this week, didn't do a lot. We'll probably add some today, maybe into tomorrow, and then we see.
PCE tomorrow. PCE is going to dictate up or down. If PCE is low, market's going to go huge. You're waiting for Powell or somebody on Powell's team or somebody to say this is going to make them cut. If they do, the market's going to go nuts. You're going to run 300-400 SPX points that fast on the first indication of a cut if the PCE is way low. Now, if it's high, straight down into the bigger sell at the end of the day. And then we see. So that's, you know, that's what you know. SPX was down 20 all night. 1 AM numbers, everything was dow. I know its usually at 3 AM. It's 1 AM Vegas time, we're all lower. And that's only enough.
Okay, $SPX very straightforward here. 5500, 5509, underneath 5481, would be bad. 5452 if everything craps out.
Broadcom ($AVGO) can't seem to get there's a beast number now. The beast number wasn't there. 1621, 1621.
Nvidia ($NVDA) 126, 131, underneath 121.
ASML ($ASML), 1077, big number 1077, still 50 points up. Wait, wait, wait, this is the first day. Now it's going to open up. Remember I told you if it opens up 10, it can run 30 or 40. Yesterday it tried, but it ended up opening up negative. If it opens up here, this may rock to the 1041.
Lam Research ($LRCX) looks like 1100, 1122.
FedEx ($FDX), all about 296. 301.
CrowdStrike ($CRWD), 181, 192.
Apple ($AAPL), 216.
Netflix ($NFLX), 681, 692.
Meta ($META), no man's land, trying to get better, 519, 521.
GameStop ($GME), 25, 27.
Goldman Sachs ($GS), 451, 462.
Carvana ($CVNA), 131, 136.
Apple ($AAPL), 216, 216, and then 221. Beast, there's a beast number, 221.
First Solar ($FSLR) down. I think this is a rotation. I was talking to a head fund guy. He told me they were rotating out of solar for Monday, so does it pop Monday? Interesting comments that people make to me, you just have to take them for comments. What do they... I don't know.
Arm ($ARM), very strong yesterday, 166, 172.
MicroStrategy ($MSTR), 1521, 1740. Beast.
$NDX, see if it's strong today. If it's strong, has a possibility of going.
Super Micro Computer ($SMCI), 952, I'm sorry, 852, 882, 832.
Tesla ($TSLA), 196, 201, big number 201, 203. Very strong,
$NOW strong, 761. And that's only enough.
Are you going to be in Vegas all weekend? Yes, going to be here all weekend. I mean, I'm always everywhere, right? So what happens in Vegas..., then we see, then we see.
Everybody have a great, great trading day.
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